Instability in the Strait of Hormuz—a route that carries ~20% of the world’s oil—creates energy price volatility.

That volatility doesn’t stay global.

The Strait of Hormuz conflict directly impacts:

  • How much it costs to build a space.
  • How long it takes to deliver.
  • How leases get structured.

Global risk is now a line item in local dealmaking.

Result:

→ Turnkey space is winning deals

→ Inefficient buildings lose leverage

 

1. Buildout Costs Become Unpredictable

Energy is a major input in steel, glass, cement, and finishes.

What Happens:

  • Contractors can’t hold pricing
  • TI budgets move mid-deal
  • Landlords hesitate to commit to fixed buildouts

Leasing Result:

→ More push toward prebuilt or turnkey space

2. Timelines Stretch

What Happens:

  • Fixtures and materials arrive late
  • Buildouts extend beyond projections

Leasing Result:

→ More demand for rent abatements and flexible commencement dates

3. Operating Costs Come Into Focus

What Happens:

  • Older buildings become more expensive to operate
  • Expense uncertainty becomes a tenant concern

Leasing Result:

→ Tenants push for expense caps or modified gross deals

 
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